Setter Volume Report — global secondary market volume, FY 2014

4th Edition

Setter's semi-annual survey of the global secondary market — every edition since 2013.

Total volume

Total secondary market volume was $49.30bn in FY 2014, up 37.1% from $36.00bn in FY 2013.

Types of assets purchased (FY 2014, USD bn)

  • All assets purchased$49.30bn
  • Private Equity $37.90bn+35.9%
  • Real Estate $6.80bn+32.5%
  • Hedge Funds $2.50bn
  • Infrastructure $1.90bn+177.7%
  • Agriculture / Timber $200.00m−7.8%

Reported activity vs FY 2013

  • Meaningfully higher67.3%
  • Similar28.1%
  • Meaningfully lower4.6%

Key takeaway

  • 67.3% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than FY 2013, against 4.6% reporting meaningfully lower.

Assets purchased

LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries

$38.26bn

LP-led volume

$11.04bn

GP-led volume

22.4%

GP-led share of volume

LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)

  • LP-led77.6%
  • GP-led22.4%

Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries

  • All LP-led fund secondaries$38.20bn
  • Private equity $26.80bn
  • Real Estate $6.80bn
  • Hedge Funds $2.50bn
  • Infrastructure $1.90bn
  • Agriculture / Timber $200.00m

Types of funds purchased

Private equity funds (USD bn)

  • LBO$22.20bn
  • Energy$1.70bn
  • VC$1.30bn
  • Fund of Funds$1.00bn
  • Mezzanine / Credit$600.00m

Real estate funds (USD bn)

  • Core$2.60bn
  • Value-Add$2.40bn
  • Opportunistic$1.80bn

Key takeaway

  • GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 22.4% of volume in FY 2014, with the balance LP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor..

Geography of assets purchased

Share of assets purchased by region

  • North America47.9%
  • Western Europe37.1%
  • Asia-Pacific10.0%
  • Global5.0%

Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)

  • All regions$46.70bn
  • North America $23.60bn
  • Western Europe $18.30bn
  • Asia-Pacific $4.80bn

Key takeaway

  • North America was the largest source of assets purchased in FY 2014, at 47.9% of volume.

Profiles of buyers

Types of buyers (share of volume)

  • Secondary Funds78.6%
  • Funds of Funds12.8%
  • Hedge Sec / FoFs4.4%
  • Inv. Consultants3.2%
  • Pensions1.0%

Locations of buyers (head-office based)

  • Europe50.3%
  • North America49.2%
  • Asia0.5%

Buyers' scope of interest

31.4%

Broadened into other alternative strategies

38.1%

Intend to broaden next year

Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers

BuyersVolumeShareDealsAvg. deal
Large11$29.50bn59.8%273$108.00m
Medium54$17.30bn34.9%738$23.40m
Small50$2.60bn5.3%259$10.00m

Volume by size of buyer

  • Large 59.8%$29.50bn
  • Medium 34.9%$17.30bn
  • Small 5.3%$2.60bn

Key takeaways

  • Secondary Funds led the buy side in FY 2014 at 78.6% of volume, and 50.3% of buyers were headquartered in Europe.
  • The Large tier accounted for 59.8% of reported volume, across 11 buyers.

Deals

Number of deals and average deal size

1,270

Transactions

$37.70m

Average deal size

Deals and deal size by buyer size

Number of deals

  • Large 273
  • Medium 738
  • Small 259

Average deal size

  • Large $108.00m
  • Medium $23.40m
  • Small $10.00m

Seller profiles

Types of sellers in FY 2014

  • Pensions28.4%
  • Banks24.8%
  • Sovereign Funds11.9%
  • Other Fund GPs10.7%
  • Endowments / Charities7.3%
  • Family Offices5.1%
  • Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds4.3%
  • Hedge Funds3.4%
  • Insurance Companies2.0%

Expected sellers over the next six months

  • Banks18.0%
  • Insurance Companies4.0%
  • Pensions38.0%
  • Sovereign Funds16.0%
  • Family Offices3.0%
  • Endowments / Charities7.0%
  • Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds6.0%
  • Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds1.0%
  • Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)6.0%
  • Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)1.0%

Seller location

Share of volume by seller region

  • North America45.2%
  • Western Europe28.8%
  • Asia-Pacific13.3%
  • Other12.7%

Volume by seller region (USD bn)

  • North America $22.30bn
  • Western Europe $14.20bn
  • Asia-Pacific $6.60bn
  • Other $6.26bn

Key takeaways

  • Pensions (28.4%) and Banks (24.8%) led selling in FY 2014.
  • Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 38.0%.

Terms & returns

Leverage and returns

Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year

  • Meaningfully more67.0%
  • Similar32.0%
  • Less1.0%

Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.43x.

Key takeaway

  • Buyers underwrote to a 1.43x expected gross multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money)..

Competition

Buyer competition for deals vs prior year

  • Meaningfully higher50.0%
  • Similar46.7%
  • Meaningfully lower3.0%

Intermediation

Volume involving an intermediary

56.9%

Volume involving an intermediary

$28.10bn

Intermediated volume

Outlook

Projected volume for FY 2015

FY 2015 Forecast

$56.50bn

Predicted secondary volume for FY 2015 (+14.5% vs this period)

How buyers expect FY 2015 to compare to this period

  • Meaningfully higher14.0%
  • Similar78.0%
  • Meaningfully lower8.0%

Key takeaway

  • Buyers project $56.50bn of volume in FY 2015, +14.5% against FY 2014.

Methodology

This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during full-year 2014.

Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — FY 2014. The published PDF remains canonical.

Need pricing or liquidity insight on a specific portfolio?

Setter Capital advises buyers and sellers across the global secondary market.

Source: Setter Capital Volume Report. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, USD) in deals with a binding agreement entered into during the reporting period.

V4 preview — figures are transcribed from the published reports; the published PDF remains canonical.