Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $49.60bn in FY 2015, up 0.6% from $49.30bn in FY 2014.
Types of assets purchased (FY 2015, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$49.60bn
- Private Equity $37.70bn−0.5%
- Real Estate $9.20bn+34.7%
- Infrastructure $1.60bn−15.6%
- Hedge Funds $835.00m−66.7%
- Agriculture / Timber $313.00m+56.7%
Reported activity vs FY 2014
- Meaningfully higher44.0%
- Similar52.0%
- Meaningfully lower4.0%
Key takeaway
- 44.0% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than FY 2014, against 4.0% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$39.38bn
LP-led volume
$10.22bn
GP-led volume
20.6%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led79.4%
- GP-led20.6%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- PE directs90.0%
- RE directs10.0%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$39.35bn
- Private equity $28.50bn
- Real Estate $8.10bn
- Infrastructure $1.60bn
- Hedge Funds $835.00m
- Agriculture / Timber $313.00m
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$24.40bn
- VC$1.70bn
- Mezzanine$850.00m
- Energy$826.00m
- Fund of Funds$722.00m
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Value-Add$3.30bn
- Opportunistic$3.10bn
- Core$1.80bn
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More59.0%
- Similar40.0%
- Less1.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More32.4%
- Similar65.0%
- Less3.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive24.0%
- No change67.0%
- Less restrictive9.0%
Key takeaway
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 20.6% of volume in FY 2015, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America51.5%
- Western Europe32.6%
- Global8.7%
- Asia-Pacific6.4%
- Other0.8%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$49.60bn
- North America $25.60bn+8.5%
- Western Europe $16.20bn−11.5%
- Global $4.30bn+231.0%
- Asia-Pacific $3.20bn
- Other $300.00m
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in FY 2015, at 51.5% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds79.1%
- Funds of Funds12.8%
- Pensions3.8%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs3.3%
- Inv. Consultants1.0%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America61.1%
- Europe37.4%
- Asia1.5%
Buyers' scope of interest
16.7%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
29.4%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in FY 2015 at 79.1% of volume, and 61.1% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 62.0% of reported volume, across 13 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
1,127
Transactions
$44.01m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in FY 2015
- Pensions33.8%
- Banks18.0%
- Other Fund GPs13.7%
- Family Offices6.8%
- Endowments / Charities6.1%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds5.9%
- Sovereign Funds5.7%
- Insurance Companies5.1%
- Corporate3.9%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Banks13.0%
- Insurance Companies4.0%
- Pensions34.0%
- Sovereign Funds16.0%
- Family Offices5.0%
- Endowments / Charities10.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds10.0%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds1.0%
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)6.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)1.0%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America50.3%
- Western Europe26.3%
- Asia-Pacific20.1%
- Other3.3%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $24.90bn
- Western Europe $14.00bn
- Asia-Pacific $10.00bn
Key takeaways
- Pensions (33.8%) and Banks (18.0%) led selling in FY 2015.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 34.0%.
Terms & returns
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more55.0%
- Similar44.0%
- Less1.0%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.41x.
Key takeaway
- Buyers underwrote to a 1.41x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher26.9%
- Similar71.8%
- Meaningfully lower1.3%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
63.2%
Volume involving an intermediary
$31.40bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for FY 2016
$50.70bn
Predicted secondary volume for FY 2016 (+2.2% vs this period)
How buyers expect FY 2016 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher9.0%
- Similar72.0%
- Meaningfully lower19.0%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in FY 2016
−2.4%
Expected change in distributions
+0.5%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $50.70bn of volume in FY 2016, +2.2% against FY 2015. They also expect distributions to move −2.4% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +0.5%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during full-year 2015.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — FY 2015. The published PDF remains canonical.
Need pricing or liquidity insight on a specific portfolio?
Setter Capital advises buyers and sellers across the global secondary market.