Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $42.15bn in FY 2016, down 15.0% from $49.60bn in FY 2015.
Types of assets purchased (FY 2016, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$42.15bn
- Private Equity $34.80bn−7.7%
- Real Estate $4.80bn−47.8%
- Infrastructure $1.60bn+0.5%
- Hedge Funds $606.00m−27.4%
- Agriculture / Timber $331.00m+5.8%
Reported activity vs FY 2015
- Meaningfully higher33.4%
- Similar34.8%
- Meaningfully lower31.7%
Key takeaway
- 33.4% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than FY 2015, against 31.7% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$32.08bn
LP-led volume
$10.07bn
GP-led volume
23.9%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led76.1%
- GP-led23.9%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- PE directs91.1%
- RE directs8.9%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$32.04bn
- Private equity $25.60bn−10.0%
- Real Estate $3.90bn−51.8%
- Infrastructure $1.60bn+0.5%
- Hedge Funds $606.00m−27.4%
- Agriculture / Timber $331.00m+5.8%
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$20.20bn
- VC$1.90bn
- Debt$1.40bn
- Fund of Funds$1.10bn
- Energy$973.00m
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Value-Add$1.80bn
- Opportunistic$1.10bn
- Core$955.00m
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More54.7%
- Similar41.3%
- Less4.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More25.3%
- Similar70.7%
- Less4.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive18.0%
- No change74.0%
- Less restrictive8.0%
Key takeaway
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 23.9% of volume in FY 2016, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America55.7%
- Western Europe32.5%
- Asia-Pacific7.1%
- Global3.6%
- Other1.1%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$42.15bn
- North America $23.50bn−8.3%
- Western Europe $13.70bn−15.3%
- Asia-Pacific $3.00bn−5.1%
- Global $1.50bn−64.9%
- Other $450.00m
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in FY 2016, at 55.7% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds82.7%
- Funds of Funds13.1%
- Pensions1.5%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs1.4%
- Inv. Consultants1.3%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America63.5%
- Europe34.7%
- Asia1.6%
Buyers' scope of interest
20.9%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
36.9%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in FY 2016 at 82.7% of volume, and 63.5% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 58.4% of reported volume, across 10 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
1,086
Transactions
$38.80m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in FY 2016
- Pensions37.3%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds19.7%
- Other Fund GPs11.9%
- Family Offices11.6%
- Banks10.3%
- Endowments / Charities5.8%
- Corporate2.1%
- Sovereign Funds0.6%
- Insurance Companies0.5%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Banks4.0%
- Insurance Companies3.0%
- Pensions34.0%
- Sovereign Funds16.0%
- Family Offices8.0%
- Endowments / Charities10.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds19.0%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds1.0%
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)4.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)1.0%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America62.6%
- Western Europe30.7%
- Asia-Pacific5.6%
- Other1.1%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $26.40bn
- Western Europe $12.90bn
- Asia-Pacific $2.40bn
- Other $460.00m
Key takeaways
- Pensions (37.3%) and Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds (19.7%) led selling in FY 2016.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 34.0%.
Terms & returns
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more27.3%
- Similar72.7%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.38x.
Buyers' target returns
Targeted IRRs (%)
Targeted gross multiples (x)
Key takeaway
- Buyers underwrote to a 1.38x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher17.4%
- Similar79.1%
- Meaningfully lower3.5%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
65.3%
Volume involving an intermediary
$27.00bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for FY 2017
$52.30bn
Predicted secondary volume for FY 2017 (+25.5% vs this period)
How buyers expect FY 2017 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher37.0%
- Similar61.0%
- Meaningfully lower2.0%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in FY 2017
+0.8%
Expected change in distributions
+1.2%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $52.30bn of volume in FY 2017, +25.5% against FY 2016. They also expect distributions to move +0.8% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +1.2%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during full-year 2016.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — FY 2016. The published PDF remains canonical.
Need pricing or liquidity insight on a specific portfolio?
Setter Capital advises buyers and sellers across the global secondary market.