Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $79.70bn in FY 2018, up 31.2% from $60.70bn in FY 2017.
Types of assets purchased (FY 2018, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$79.70bn
- Private Equity $70.23bn+36.2%
- Real Estate $5.85bn−8.3%
- Infrastructure $3.00bn+68.3%
- Hedge Funds $460.00m−38.3%
- Agriculture / Timber $130.00m−51.9%
Reported activity vs FY 2017
- Meaningfully higher79.2%
- Similar19.6%
- Meaningfully lower1.2%
Key takeaway
- 79.2% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than FY 2017, against 1.2% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$51.41bn
LP-led volume
$28.29bn
GP-led volume
35.5%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led64.5%
- GP-led35.5%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- Private Equity93.0%
- Real Estate7.0%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$51.39bn
- Private Equity $43.80bn+25.7%
- Real Estate $4.00bn−20.8%
- Infrastructure $3.00bn+68.3%
- Hedge Funds $460.00m−38.3%
- Agriculture / Timber $130.00m−51.9%
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$33.20bn
- VC$5.10bn
- Fund of Funds$2.30bn
- Energy$1.70bn
- Debt$1.50bn
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Opportunistic$2.30bn
- Value-Add$1.20bn
- Core$500.00m
Types of GP-led secondaries
Types of deals completed
- Fund restructurings (LPs may sell or roll into a new vehicle)33.0%
- Purchases of directs from a fund (incumbent manager exits)11.0%
- Tender offers to LPs (fund not restructured)41.0%
- Provision of unfunded / dry powder to a fund1.0%
- Other14.0%
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More62.0%
- Similar38.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More37.0%
- Similar63.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More15.0%
- Similar76.0%
- Less9.0%
Key takeaways
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 35.5% of volume in FY 2018, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .- Tender offers to LPs were the most common GP-led structure, at 41.0% of deals.
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America56.0%
- Western Europe27.0%
- Global9.0%
- Asia-Pacific7.0%
- Other2.0%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$79.70bn
- North America $44.60bn+50.6%
- Western Europe $21.40bn+34.3%
- Global $6.80bn+17.1%
- Asia-Pacific $5.70bn−11.6%
- Other $1.20bn
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in FY 2018, at 56.0% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds84.0%
- Funds of Funds9.0%
- Pensions6.0%
- Inv. Consultants1.0%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America65.0%
- Europe33.0%
- Asia2.0%
Buyers' scope of interest
27.2%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
25.6%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in FY 2018 at 84.0% of volume, and 65.0% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 73.7% of reported volume, across 17 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
1,595
Transactions
$49.90m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in FY 2018
- Pensions29.0%
- Other Fund GPs17.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds16.0%
- Insurance Companies15.0%
- Family Offices7.0%
- Sovereign Funds5.0%
- Endowments / Charities5.0%
- Hedge Funds4.0%
- Banks2.0%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Banks3.0%
- Insurance Companies2.0%
- Pensions36.0%
- Sovereign Funds19.0%
- Family Offices6.0%
- Endowments / Charities4.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds13.0%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds1.0%
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)15.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)1.0%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America60.0%
- Western Europe27.0%
- Asia-Pacific10.0%
- Other3.0%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $47.60bn
- Western Europe $21.10bn
- Asia-Pacific $8.40bn
- Other $2.39bn
Key takeaways
- Pensions (29.0%) and Other Fund GPs (17.0%) led selling in FY 2018.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 36.0%.
Terms & returns
Payment terms
Payment terms
- 100% cash paid on closing69.0%
- Partially deferred (e.g. half on close, half in a year)25.0%
- Preferred equity — capped upside thereafter4.0%
- Partial payment plus upside sharing1.0%
- Other1.0%
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more29.2%
- Similar70.8%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.44x.
Buyers' target returns
Targeted IRRs (%)
Targeted gross multiples (x)
Key takeaway
- 100% cash paid on closing featured in 69.0% of the volume-weighted deal mix, and buyers underwrote to a 1.44x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher12.5%
- Similar81.3%
- Meaningfully lower6.3%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
64.0%
Volume involving an intermediary
$51.00bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for FY 2019
$72.80bn
Predicted secondary volume for FY 2019 (−8.6% vs this period)
How buyers expect FY 2019 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher23.4%
- Similar51.7%
- Meaningfully lower24.9%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in FY 2019
−1.2%
Expected change in distributions
+0.3%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $72.80bn of volume in FY 2019, −8.6% against FY 2018. They also expect distributions to move −1.2% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +0.3%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during full-year 2018.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — FY 2018. The published PDF remains canonical.
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