Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $85.41bn in FY 2019, up 7.2% from $79.67bn in FY 2018.
Types of assets purchased (FY 2019, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$85.41bn
- Private Equity $77.82bn+10.8%
- Real Estate $3.69bn−36.9%
- Infrastructure $3.45bn+14.7%
- Hedge Funds $290.00m−37.1%
- Agriculture / Timber $170.00m+29.5%
Reported activity vs FY 2018
- Meaningfully higher35.8%
- Similar59.4%
- Meaningfully lower4.8%
Key takeaway
- 35.8% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than FY 2018, against 4.8% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$56.20bn
LP-led volume
$29.21bn
GP-led volume
34.2%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led65.8%
- GP-led34.2%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- PE directs95.6%
- RE directs4.4%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$56.17bn
- Private equity $49.86bn+13.8%
- Infrastructure $3.45bn+14.7%
- Real Estate $2.40bn−40.0%
- Hedge Funds $290.00m−37.1%
- Agriculture / Timber $170.00m+29.5%
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$37.30bn
- VC$4.75bn
- Debt$3.14bn
- Fund of Funds$2.90bn
- Energy$1.77bn
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Opportunistic$1.15bn
- Value-Add$850.00m
- Core$400.00m
Types of GP-led secondaries
Types of deals completed
- Fund restructurings (LPs may sell or roll into a new vehicle)55.0%
- Purchases of directs from a fund (incumbent manager exits)23.0%
- Tender offers to LPs (fund not restructured)10.0%
- Provision of unfunded / dry powder to a fund1.0%
- Other12.0%
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More58.0%
- Similar41.0%
- Less1.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More31.0%
- Similar65.0%
- Less4.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive29.0%
- No change57.0%
- Less restrictive14.0%
Key takeaways
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 34.2% of volume in FY 2019, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .- Fund restructurings were the most common GP-led structure, at 55.0% of deals.
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America58.7%
- Western Europe29.5%
- Asia-Pacific7.1%
- Global2.6%
- Other2.1%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$85.41bn
- North America $50.14bn+12.4%
- Western Europe $25.16bn+17.5%
- Asia-Pacific $6.10bn+8.1%
- Global $2.18bn−67.9%
- Other $1.83bn
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in FY 2019, at 58.7% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds86.8%
- Funds of Funds10.3%
- Pensions1.5%
- Inv. Consultants0.8%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs0.6%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America63.3%
- Europe35.1%
- Asia1.6%
Buyers' scope of interest
16.7%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
25.3%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in FY 2019 at 86.8% of volume, and 63.3% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 72.0% of reported volume, across 17 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
1,597
Transactions
$53.47m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in FY 2019
- Other Fund GPs24.5%
- Pensions22.7%
- Banks13.1%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds13.0%
- Insurance Companies8.5%
- Family Offices6.3%
- Endowments / Charities4.6%
- Sovereign Funds4.2%
- Corporate3.0%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Banks1.0%
- Insurance Companies4.0%
- Pensions39.0%
- Sovereign Funds12.0%
- Family Offices4.0%
- Endowments / Charities4.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds25.0%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds0.0%
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)10.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)1.0%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America55.4%
- Western Europe22.4%
- Asia-Pacific19.8%
- Other2.5%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $47.29bn
- Western Europe $19.11bn
- Asia-Pacific $16.87bn
- Other $2.14bn
Key takeaways
- Other Fund GPs (24.5%) and Pensions (22.7%) led selling in FY 2019.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 39.0%.
Terms & returns
Payment terms
Payment terms
- 100% cash paid on closing74.0%
- Partially deferred (e.g. half on close, half in a year)18.0%
- Other terms / structuring7.0%
- Preferred equity1.0%
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more25.6%
- Similar74.4%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.44x.
Buyers' target returns
Targeted IRRs (%)
Targeted gross multiples (x)
Key takeaway
- 100% cash paid on closing featured in 74.0% of the volume-weighted deal mix, and buyers underwrote to a 1.44x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher5.7%
- Similar88.6%
- Meaningfully lower5.7%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
70.3%
Volume involving an intermediary
$60.06bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for FY 2020
$89.13bn
Predicted secondary volume for FY 2020 (+4.3% vs this period)
How buyers expect FY 2020 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher8.4%
- Similar83.8%
- Meaningfully lower7.8%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in FY 2020
+1.9%
Expected change in distributions
+2.6%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $89.13bn of volume in FY 2020, +4.3% against FY 2019. They also expect distributions to move +1.9% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +2.6%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during full-year 2019.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — FY 2019. The published PDF remains canonical.
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