Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $61.76bn in FY 2020, down 27.7% from $85.41bn in FY 2019.
Types of assets purchased (FY 2020, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$61.76bn
- Private Equity $56.21bn−27.8%
- Real Estate $2.74bn−25.7%
- Infrastructure $2.06bn−40.4%
- Hedge Funds $430.00m+47.9%
- Agriculture / Timber $330.00m+97.3%
Reported activity vs FY 2019
- Meaningfully higher7.1%
- Similar67.7%
- Meaningfully lower25.2%
Key takeaway
- 7.1% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than FY 2019, against 25.2% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$29.34bn
LP-led volume
$32.42bn
GP-led volume
52.5%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led47.5%
- GP-led52.5%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- PE directs96.8%
- RE directs3.2%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$29.37bn
- Private equity $24.85bn−50.2%
- Infrastructure $2.06bn−40.4%
- Real Estate $1.70bn−29.2%
- Hedge Funds $430.00m+47.9%
- Agriculture / Timber $330.00m+97.3%
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$19.21bn
- VC$3.59bn
- Fund of Funds$1.19bn
- Debt$638.00m
- Energy$226.00m
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Core$1.09bn
- Opportunistic$460.00m
- Value-Add$160.00m
Maturity of funds purchased
Average age of funds purchased
The volume-weighted average age of the fund interests purchased in FY 2020 was 5.72 years.
Types of GP-led secondaries
Types of deals completed
- Fund restructurings (LPs may sell or roll into a new vehicle)74.0%
- Purchases of directs from a fund (incumbent manager exits)8.0%
- Tender offers to LPs (fund not restructured)4.0%
- Provision of unfunded / dry powder to a fund1.0%
- Other13.0%
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More56.1%
- Similar37.0%
- Less7.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More29.0%
- Similar61.5%
- Less9.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive7.0%
- No change88.0%
- Less restrictive5.0%
Key takeaways
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 52.5% of volume in FY 2020, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .- Fund restructurings were the most common GP-led structure, at 74.0% of deals.
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America56.7%
- Western Europe29.1%
- Asia-Pacific6.3%
- Global6.0%
- Other1.9%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$61.76bn
- North America $35.00bn−30.2%
- Western Europe $18.00bn−28.5%
- Asia-Pacific $3.92bn−35.8%
- Global $3.70bn+69.5%
- Other $1.14bn
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in FY 2020, at 56.7% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds82.7%
- Funds of Funds14.3%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs1.2%
- Inv. Consultants0.9%
- Pensions0.8%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America68.6%
- Europe28.9%
- Asia1.3%
Buyers' scope of interest
16.7%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
30.8%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in FY 2020 at 82.7% of volume, and 68.6% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 67.2% of reported volume, across 16 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
1,376
Transactions
$44.88m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Execution risk
Deals that fell through vs prior period
- Meaningfully higher60.0%
- Similar35.3%
- Meaningfully lower4.7%
Why deals fell through
- Seller decided not to sell55.1%
- Adverse economic issues generally / MAC clause34.5%
- Adverse portfolio or manager issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence6.8%
- GP did not allow transfer / PTP issues1.7%
- Disagreement over NAV or post-reference date cash flows1.6%
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in FY 2020
- Other Fund GPs27.3%
- Pensions26.7%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds10.4%
- Family Offices9.7%
- Sovereign Funds8.6%
- Endowments / Charities6.5%
- Banks4.6%
- Insurance Companies3.4%
- Corporate2.2%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Banks1.0%
- Insurance Companies4.0%
- Pensions32.0%
- Sovereign Funds17.0%
- Family Offices10.0%
- Endowments / Charities8.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds8.0%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds1.0%
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)18.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)1.0%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America62.0%
- Western Europe25.9%
- Asia-Pacific10.0%
- Other2.1%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $38.28bn
- Western Europe $16.01bn
- Asia-Pacific $6.15bn
- Other $1.30bn
Key takeaways
- Other Fund GPs (27.3%) and Pensions (26.7%) led selling in FY 2020.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 32.0%.
Terms & returns
Payment terms
Payment terms
- 100% cash paid on closing77.2%
- Partially deferred (e.g. half on close, half in a year)11.0%
- Other terms / structuring10.0%
- Preferred equity1.8%
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more9.6%
- Similar67.1%
- Less23.3%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.58x.
Buyers' target returns
Targeted IRRs (%)
Targeted gross multiples (x)
Key takeaway
- 100% cash paid on closing featured in 77.2% of the volume-weighted deal mix, and buyers underwrote to a 1.58x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher9.5%
- Similar76.2%
- Meaningfully lower14.3%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
65.7%
Volume involving an intermediary
$40.56bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for FY 2021
$89.84bn
Predicted secondary volume for FY 2021 (+45.5% vs this period)
How buyers expect FY 2021 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher52.5%
- Similar46.9%
- Meaningfully lower0.6%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in FY 2021
+5.5%
Expected change in distributions
+5.1%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $89.84bn of volume in FY 2021, +45.5% against FY 2020. They also expect distributions to move +5.5% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +5.1%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during full-year 2020.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — FY 2020. The published PDF remains canonical.
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