Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $106.33bn in FY 2023, up 4.7% from $101.51bn in FY 2022.
Types of assets purchased (FY 2023, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$106.33bn
- Private Equity $97.44bn+4.0%
- Infrastructure $6.48bn+42.9%
- Real Estate $2.19bn−26.5%
- Hedge Funds $120.00m−38.2%
- Agriculture / Timber $100.00m−29.6%
Reported activity vs FY 2022
- Meaningfully higher37.8%
- Similar49.9%
- Meaningfully lower12.3%
Key takeaway
- 37.8% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than FY 2022, against 12.3% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$62.84bn
LP-led volume
$43.49bn
GP-led volume
40.9%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led59.1%
- GP-led40.9%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- PE directs98.2%
- RE directs1.8%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$62.89bn
- Private equity $54.77bn+11.0%
- Infrastructure $6.48bn+42.9%
- Real Estate $1.42bn−19.6%
- Hedge Funds $120.00m−38.2%
- Agriculture / Timber $100.00m−29.6%
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$44.63bn
- VC$4.82bn
- Debt$3.49bn
- Fund of Funds$1.67bn
- Energy$162.00m
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Core$380.00m
- Value-Add$450.00m
- Opportunistic$580.00m
Maturity of funds purchased
Average age of funds purchased
The volume-weighted average age of the fund interests purchased in FY 2023 was 5.30 years, compared with 5.25 years in FY 2022.
Types of GP-led secondaries
Types of deals completed
- Fund restructurings (LPs may sell or roll into a new vehicle)70.0%
- Purchases of directs from a fund (incumbent manager exits)4.0%
- Tender offers to LPs (fund not restructured)14.0%
- Provision of unfunded / dry powder to a fund3.0%
- Other9.0%
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More31.2%
- Similar63.8%
- Less5.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More32.1%
- Similar58.9%
- Less9.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive9.0%
- No change81.0%
- Less restrictive10.0%
Key takeaways
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 40.9% of volume in FY 2023, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .- Fund restructurings were the most common GP-led structure, at 70.0% of deals.
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America61.2%
- Western Europe26.4%
- Global8.8%
- Asia-Pacific3.1%
- Other0.5%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$106.33bn
- North America $65.07bn+0.9%
- Western Europe $28.08bn+15.5%
- Global $9.40bn+41.3%
- Asia-Pacific $3.31bn−31.5%
- Other $470.00m
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in FY 2023, at 61.2% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds93.6%
- Funds of Funds3.6%
- Pensions1.2%
- Inv. Consultants0.9%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs0.6%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America72.2%
- Europe26.6%
- Asia1.3%
Buyers' scope of interest
11.0%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
27.8%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in FY 2023 at 93.6% of volume, and 72.2% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 74.1% of reported volume, across 21 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
1,693
Transactions
$62.81m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Execution risk
Deals that fell through vs prior period
- Meaningfully higher19.5%
- Similar66.6%
- Meaningfully lower13.9%
Why deals fell through
- Seller decided not to sell68.7%
- Adverse portfolio or manager issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence8.3%
- GP did not allow transfer / PTP issues6.2%
- Disagreement over PSA terms6.2%
- Adverse tax issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence4.1%
- Another investor exercised their right of first refusal/offer (ROFR/ROFO)4.2%
- Disagreement over NAV or post-reference date cash flows2.1%
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in FY 2023
- Pensions36.3%
- Insurance Companies17.6%
- Other Fund GPs16.6%
- Banks10.5%
- Family Offices7.1%
- Endowments / Charities5.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds4.0%
- Sovereign Funds2.3%
- Corporate0.4%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)8.0%
- Pensions45.0%
- Sovereign Funds0.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds11.0%
- Family Offices4.0%
- Banks0.0%
- Insurance Companies26.0%
- Endowments / Charities5.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)0.3%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds0.7%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America60.5%
- Western Europe29.9%
- Asia-Pacific8.5%
- Other1.1%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $64.33bn
- Asia-Pacific $9.01bn
- Western Europe $31.79bn
- Other $1.17bn
Key takeaways
- Pensions (36.3%) and Insurance Companies (17.6%) led selling in FY 2023.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 45.0%.
Terms & returns
Payment terms
Payment terms
- 100% cash paid on closing71.9%
- Partially deferred (e.g. half on close, half in a year)25.8%
- Preferred equity1.5%
- Earn-out (large cash component on closing)0.7%
- Other terms / structuring0.1%
Pricing in FY 2023
86.4%
LP-led fund sales, as % of NAV
92.5%
GP-led secondaries, as % of NAV
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more2.7%
- Similar45.3%
- Less52.0%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.6x.
Buyers' target returns
Targeted IRRs (%)
Targeted gross multiples (x)
Key takeaway
- 100% cash paid on closing featured in 71.9% of the volume-weighted deal mix, and buyers underwrote to a 1.6x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher13.4%
- Similar74.4%
- Meaningfully lower12.2%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
75.4%
Volume involving an intermediary
$80.14bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for FY 2024
$140.06bn
Predicted secondary volume for FY 2024 (+31.7% vs this period)
How buyers expect FY 2024 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher36.0%
- Similar63.7%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in FY 2024
+4.7%
Expected change in distributions
+3.2%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $140.06bn of volume in FY 2024, +31.7% against FY 2023. They also expect distributions to move +4.7% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +3.2%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during full-year 2023.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — FY 2023. The published PDF remains canonical.
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