Setter Volume Report — global secondary market volume, FY 2024

24th Edition

Setter's semi-annual survey of the global secondary market — every edition since 2013.

Total volume

Total secondary market volume was $153.31bn in FY 2024, up 44.2% from $106.33bn in FY 2023.

Types of assets purchased (FY 2024, USD bn)

  • All assets purchased$153.31bn
  • Private Equity $142.64bn+46.4%
  • Infrastructure $7.53bn+16.3%
  • Real Estate $2.80bn+28.0%
  • Hedge Funds $200.00m+66.7%
  • Agriculture / Timber $130.00m+34.0%

Reported activity vs FY 2023

  • Meaningfully higher61.8%
  • Similar37.5%
  • Meaningfully lower0.8%

Key takeaway

  • 61.8% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than FY 2023, against 0.8% reporting meaningfully lower.

Assets purchased

LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries

$87.54bn

LP-led volume

$65.77bn

GP-led volume

42.9%

GP-led share of volume

LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)

  • LP-led57.1%
  • GP-led42.9%

Direct purchases split PE vs RE

  • PE directs97.8%
  • RE directs2.2%

Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries

  • All LP-led fund secondaries$87.53bn
  • Private equity $78.30bn+43.0%
  • Infrastructure $7.53bn+16.3%
  • Real Estate $1.37bn−3.0%
  • Hedge Funds $200.00m+66.7%
  • Agriculture / Timber $130.00m+34.0%

Types of funds purchased

Private equity funds (USD bn)

  • LBO$65.80bn
  • VC$5.56bn
  • Debt$4.25bn
  • Fund of Funds$2.34bn
  • Energy$364.00m

Real estate funds (USD bn)

  • Core$460.00m
  • Value-Add$460.00m
  • Opportunistic$450.00m

Maturity of funds purchased

Average age of funds purchased

The volume-weighted average age of the fund interests purchased in FY 2024 was 6.01 years, compared with 5.30 years in FY 2023.

Types of GP-led secondaries

Types of deals completed

  • Fund restructurings (LPs may sell or roll into a new vehicle)83.0%
  • Purchases of directs from a fund (incumbent manager exits)1.0%
  • Tender offers to LPs (fund not restructured)2.0%
  • Provision of unfunded / dry powder to a fund3.0%
  • Other12.0%

General partners' approach to the secondary market

Liquidations & restructurings

  • More29.5%
  • Similar70.5%

Staples sought by GPs

  • More15.6%
  • Similar81.9%
  • Less2.5%

Restrictiveness on transfers

  • More restrictive9.0%
  • No change87.0%
  • Less restrictive4.0%

Key takeaways

  • GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 42.9% of volume in FY 2024, with the balance LP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor..
  • Fund restructurings were the most common GP-led structure, at 83.0% of deals.

Geography of assets purchased

Share of assets purchased by region

  • North America64.3%
  • Western Europe25.3%
  • Global7.5%
  • Asia-Pacific2.8%
  • Other0.1%

Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)

  • All regions$153.31bn
  • North America $98.56bn+51.5%
  • Western Europe $38.77bn+38.1%
  • Global $11.45bn+21.8%
  • Asia-Pacific $4.25bn+28.5%
  • Other $280.00m

Key takeaway

  • North America was the largest source of assets purchased in FY 2024, at 64.3% of volume.

Profiles of buyers

Types of buyers (share of volume)

  • Secondary Funds93.0%
  • Funds of Funds3.3%
  • Pensions1.8%
  • Inv. Consultants1.3%
  • Hedge Sec / FoFs0.6%

Locations of buyers (head-office based)

  • North America71.9%
  • Europe26.7%
  • Asia1.4%

Buyers' scope of interest

9.8%

Broadened into other alternative strategies

27.2%

Intend to broaden next year

Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers

BuyersVolumeShareDealsAvg. deal
Large30$122.50bn79.9%789$155.21m
Medium79$29.10bn19.0%1031$28.24m
Small36$1.71bn1.1%393$4.36m

Volume by size of buyer

  • Large 79.9%$122.50bn
  • Medium 19.0%$29.10bn
  • Small 1.1%$1.71bn

Key takeaways

  • Secondary Funds led the buy side in FY 2024 at 93.0% of volume, and 71.9% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
  • The Large tier accounted for 79.9% of reported volume, across 30 buyers.

Deals

Number of deals and average deal size

2,213

Transactions

$69.29m

Average deal size

Deals and deal size by buyer size

Number of deals

  • Large 789
  • Medium 1,031
  • Small 393

Average deal size

  • Large $155.21m
  • Medium $28.24m
  • Small $4.36m

Execution risk

Deals that fell through vs prior period

  • Meaningfully higher10.1%
  • Similar78.9%
  • Meaningfully lower11.0%

Why deals fell through

  • Seller decided not to sell70.5%
  • Adverse portfolio or manager issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence9.1%
  • GP did not allow transfer / PTP issues4.5%
  • Adverse tax issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence4.5%
  • Disagreement over PSA terms4.5%
  • Another investor exercised their right of first refusal/offer (ROFR/ROFO)4.5%
  • Disagreement over NAV or post-reference date cash flows2.3%

Seller profiles

Types of sellers in FY 2024

  • Pensions29.9%
  • Other Fund GPs28.2%
  • Insurance Companies13.5%
  • Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds7.8%
  • Family Offices6.9%
  • Banks5.8%
  • Endowments / Charities4.6%
  • Corporate2.0%
  • Sovereign Funds1.2%

Expected sellers over the next six months

  • Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)16.0%
  • Pensions43.0%
  • Sovereign Funds0.0%
  • Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds10.0%
  • Family Offices3.0%
  • Banks1.0%
  • Insurance Companies22.0%
  • Endowments / Charities4.0%
  • Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)1.0%
  • Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds0.0%

Seller location

Share of volume by seller region

  • North America67.3%
  • Western Europe24.3%
  • Asia-Pacific8.0%
  • Other0.4%

Volume by seller region (USD bn)

  • North America $103.16bn
  • Asia-Pacific $12.28bn
  • Western Europe $37.25bn
  • Other $610.00m

Key takeaways

  • Pensions (29.9%) and Other Fund GPs (28.2%) led selling in FY 2024.
  • Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 43.0%.

Terms & returns

Payment terms

Payment terms

  • 100% cash paid on closing69.5%
  • Partially deferred (e.g. half on close, half in a year)25.2%
  • Earn-out (large cash component on closing)2.3%
  • Preferred equity2.2%
  • Other terms / structuring0.8%

Pricing in FY 2024

89.3%

LP-led fund sales, as % of NAV

94.7%

GP-led secondaries, as % of NAV

Leverage and returns

Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year

  • Meaningfully more11.7%
  • Similar85.7%
  • Less2.6%

Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.58x.

Buyers' target returns

Targeted IRRs (%)

  • VC funds 20.8%
  • PE directs 20.0%
  • Energy funds 18.6%
  • LBO funds 16.2%
  • RE funds 16.1%
  • Performing debt 12.4%
  • Infra funds 12.1%
  • Timber funds 10.6%

Targeted gross multiples (x)

  • VC funds 2.05x
  • PE directs 1.97x
  • Energy funds 1.75x
  • LBO funds 1.60x
  • RE funds 1.55x
  • Infra funds 1.48x
  • Timber funds 1.41x
  • Performing debt 1.37x

Key takeaway

  • 100% cash paid on closing featured in 69.5% of the volume-weighted deal mix, and buyers underwrote to a 1.58x expected gross multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money)..

Competition

Buyer competition for deals vs prior year

  • Meaningfully higher34.1%
  • Similar65.9%

Intermediation

Volume involving an intermediary

70.6%

Volume involving an intermediary

$108.31bn

Intermediated volume

Outlook

Projected volume for FY 2025

FY 2025 Forecast

$176.25bn

Predicted secondary volume for FY 2025 (+15.0% vs this period)

How buyers expect FY 2025 to compare to this period

  • Meaningfully higher13.1%
  • Similar86.9%

Expected distribution and NAV changes in FY 2025

FY 2025 Expected

+6.4%

Expected change in distributions

+4.9%

Expected change in NAV

Key takeaway

  • Buyers project $176.25bn of volume in FY 2025, +15.0% against FY 2024. They also expect distributions to move +6.4% and NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +4.9%.

Methodology

This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during full-year 2024.

Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — FY 2024. The published PDF remains canonical.

Need pricing or liquidity insight on a specific portfolio?

Setter Capital advises buyers and sellers across the global secondary market.

Source: Setter Capital Volume Report. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, USD) in deals with a binding agreement entered into during the reporting period.

V4 preview — figures are transcribed from the published reports; the published PDF remains canonical.