Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $20.60bn in H1 2015, down 5.1% from $22.00bn in H1 2014.
Types of assets purchased (H1 2015, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$20.60bn
- Private Equity $16.50bn+1.9%
- Real Estate $2.90bn−1.8%
- Infrastructure $614.00m+28.5%
- Hedge Funds $471.60m−78.6%
Reported activity vs H1 2014
- Meaningfully higher31.0%
- Similar51.0%
- Meaningfully lower18.0%
Key takeaway
- 31.0% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than H1 2014, against 18.0% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$15.06bn
LP-led volume
$5.54bn
GP-led volume
26.9%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led73.1%
- GP-led26.9%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$14.99bn
- Private equity $11.60bn
- Real Estate $2.30bn
- Infrastructure $614.00m
- Hedge Funds $471.60m
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$9.50bn
- VC$773.30m
- Debt$662.30m
- Energy$349.70m
- Fund of Funds$289.20m
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Opportunistic$1.10bn
- Value-Add$709.70m
- Core$481.70m
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More44.6%
- Similar55.4%
Staples sought by GPs
- More30.6%
- Similar64.4%
- Less5.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive8.0%
- No change86.0%
- Less restrictive6.0%
Key takeaway
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 26.9% of volume in H1 2015, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America60.1%
- Western Europe25.3%
- Asia-Pacific8.4%
- Global6.2%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$20.60bn
- North America $12.40bn+7.4%
- Western Europe $5.20bn−21.7%
- Asia-Pacific $1.70bn−42.3%
- Global $1.30bn
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in H1 2015, at 60.1% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds80.2%
- Funds of Funds14.8%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs2.7%
- Pensions1.5%
- Inv. Consultants0.8%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America59.1%
- Europe40.4%
- Asia0.5%
Buyers' scope of interest
22.6%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
21.6%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in H1 2015 at 80.2% of volume, and 59.1% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 49.0% of reported volume, across 8 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
586
Transactions
$35.10m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in H1 2015
- Other Fund GPs20.8%
- Banks20.5%
- Pensions18.7%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds12.0%
- Endowments / Charities12.0%
- Family Offices7.8%
- Insurance Companies3.3%
- Corporate2.0%
- Sovereign Funds1.3%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Banks13.0%
- Insurance Companies3.0%
- Pensions33.0%
- Sovereign Funds15.0%
- Family Offices4.0%
- Endowments / Charities8.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds10.0%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds1.0%
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)12.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)1.0%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America54.2%
- Western Europe28.8%
- Asia-Pacific14.6%
- Other2.4%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $11.20bn
- Western Europe $5.90bn
- Asia-Pacific $3.00bn
- Other $490.00m
Key takeaways
- Other Fund GPs (20.8%) and Banks (20.5%) led selling in H1 2015.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 33.0%.
Terms & returns
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more43.9%
- Similar56.1%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.43x.
Key takeaway
- Buyers underwrote to a 1.43x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher33.3%
- Similar63.9%
- Meaningfully lower2.8%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
65.6%
Volume involving an intermediary
$13.50bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for H2 2015
$45.70bn
Predicted secondary volume for H2 2015 (−7.4% vs this period)
How buyers expect H2 2015 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher19.0%
- Similar67.0%
- Meaningfully lower14.0%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in H2 2015
+0.4%
Expected change in distributions
+1.7%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $45.70bn of volume in H2 2015, −7.4% against H1 2015. They also expect distributions to move +0.4% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +1.7%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during H1 2015.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — H1 2015. The published PDF remains canonical.
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