Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $18.60bn in H1 2016, down 9.7% from $20.60bn in H1 2015.
Types of assets purchased (H1 2016, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$18.60bn
- Private Equity $15.30bn−7.3%
- Real Estate $1.80bn−36.7%
- Infrastructure $860.00m+40.0%
- Hedge Funds $410.00m−13.1%
- Agriculture / Timber $224.00m−1.5%
Reported activity vs H1 2015
- Meaningfully higher43.6%
- Similar41.8%
- Meaningfully lower14.6%
Key takeaway
- 43.6% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than H1 2015, against 14.6% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$12.50bn
LP-led volume
$6.10bn
GP-led volume
32.8%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led67.2%
- GP-led32.8%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- PE directs87.0%
- RE directs13.0%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$12.52bn
- Private equity $9.99bn−13.9%
- Real Estate $1.04bn−54.8%
- Infrastructure $860.00m+40.0%
- Hedge Funds $410.00m−13.1%
- Agriculture / Timber $224.00m−1.5%
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$7.80bn
- VC$1.20bn
- Mezzanine$557.00m
- Energy$335.00m
- Fund of Funds$161.00m
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Opportunistic$384.00m
- Value-Add$338.00m
- Core$314.00m
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More49.3%
- Similar49.7%
- Less1.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More18.6%
- Similar78.4%
- Less3.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive16.0%
- No change74.0%
- Less restrictive10.0%
Key takeaway
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 32.8% of volume in H1 2016, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America54.7%
- Western Europe25.6%
- Global12.9%
- Asia-Pacific5.0%
- Other1.8%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$18.60bn
- North America $10.20bn−17.7%
- Western Europe $4.80bn−7.7%
- Global $2.40bn+322.0%
- Asia-Pacific $922.00m−45.8%
- Other $280.00m
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in H1 2016, at 54.7% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds82.2%
- Funds of Funds13.1%
- Inv. Consultants2.0%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs1.8%
- Pensions0.9%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America60.0%
- Europe38.1%
- Asia1.7%
Buyers' scope of interest
14.7%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
14.7%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in H1 2016 at 82.2% of volume, and 60.0% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 57.1% of reported volume, across 11 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
523
Transactions
$35.60m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in H1 2016
- Pensions34.5%
- Family Offices17.0%
- Other Fund GPs17.0%
- Banks13.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds11.0%
- Endowments / Charities4.0%
- Insurance Companies1.0%
- Sovereign Funds1.0%
- Corporate1.0%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Banks14.0%
- Insurance Companies6.0%
- Pensions36.0%
- Sovereign Funds10.0%
- Family Offices5.0%
- Endowments / Charities6.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds13.0%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds1.0%
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)6.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)3.0%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America55.7%
- Western Europe30.7%
- Asia-Pacific9.8%
- Other3.8%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $10.40bn
- Western Europe $5.70bn
- Asia-Pacific $1.80bn
- Other $710.00m
Key takeaways
- Pensions (34.5%) and Family Offices (17.0%) led selling in H1 2016.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 36.0%.
Terms & returns
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more15.3%
- Similar84.7%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.39x.
Key takeaway
- Buyers underwrote to a 1.39x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher21.8%
- Similar73.1%
- Meaningfully lower5.1%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
56.2%
Volume involving an intermediary
$10.50bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for H2 2016
$39.70bn
Predicted secondary volume for H2 2016 (−20.0% vs this period)
How buyers expect H2 2016 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher15.2%
- Similar78.4%
- Meaningfully lower6.4%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in H2 2016
0.0%
Expected change in distributions
−4.0%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $39.70bn of volume in H2 2016, −20.0% against H1 2016. They also expect distributions to move 0.0% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. −4.0%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during H1 2016.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — H1 2016. The published PDF remains canonical.
Need pricing or liquidity insight on a specific portfolio?
Setter Capital advises buyers and sellers across the global secondary market.