Setter Volume Report — global secondary market volume, H1 2017

9th Edition

Setter's semi-annual survey of the global secondary market — every edition since 2013.

Total volume

Total secondary market volume was $29.10bn in H1 2017, up 56.3% from $18.60bn in H1 2016.

Types of assets purchased (H1 2017, USD bn)

  • All assets purchased$29.10bn
  • Private Equity $24.30bn+58.8%
  • Real Estate $3.20bn+78.9%
  • Infrastructure $946.00m+10.0%
  • Hedge Funds $490.00m+19.5%
  • Agriculture / Timber $113.00m−49.6%

Reported activity vs H1 2016

  • Meaningfully higher63.6%
  • Similar32.0%
  • Meaningfully lower4.4%

Key takeaway

  • 63.6% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than H1 2016, against 4.4% reporting meaningfully lower.

Assets purchased

LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries

$21.39bn

LP-led volume

$7.71bn

GP-led volume

26.5%

GP-led share of volume

LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)

  • LP-led73.5%
  • GP-led26.5%

Direct purchases split PE vs RE

  • PE directs89.9%
  • RE directs10.1%

Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries

  • All LP-led fund secondaries$21.35bn
  • Private equity $17.40bn+74.1%
  • Real Estate $2.40bn+134.6%
  • Infrastructure $946.00m+10.0%
  • Hedge Funds $490.00m+19.5%
  • Agriculture / Timber $113.00m−49.5%

Types of funds purchased

Private equity funds (USD bn)

  • LBO$13.50bn
  • VC$1.70bn
  • Energy$882.00m
  • Debt$649.00m
  • Fund of Funds$627.00m

Real estate funds (USD bn)

  • Opportunistic$1.30bn
  • Value-Add$936.00m
  • Core$233.00m

General partners' approach to the secondary market

Liquidations & restructurings

  • More44.3%
  • Similar52.7%
  • Less3.0%

Staples sought by GPs

  • More30.3%
  • Similar65.7%
  • Less4.0%

Restrictiveness on transfers

  • More restrictive20.0%
  • No change72.0%
  • Less restrictive8.0%

Key takeaway

  • GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 26.5% of volume in H1 2017, with the balance LP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor..

Geography of assets purchased

Share of assets purchased by region

  • North America51.7%
  • Western Europe26.4%
  • Asia-Pacific10.4%
  • Global10.1%
  • Other1.4%

Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)

  • All regions$29.10bn
  • North America $15.00bn+47.3%
  • Western Europe $7.70bn+59.6%
  • Asia-Pacific $3.00bn+228.3%
  • Global $2.90bn+21.7%
  • Other $500.00m

Key takeaway

  • North America was the largest source of assets purchased in H1 2017, at 51.7% of volume.

Profiles of buyers

Types of buyers (share of volume)

  • Secondary Funds78.6%
  • Funds of Funds10.9%
  • Pensions8.0%
  • Hedge Sec / FoFs1.5%
  • Inv. Consultants1.0%

Locations of buyers (head-office based)

  • North America69.2%
  • Europe29.5%
  • Asia0.8%

Buyers' scope of interest

17.9%

Broadened into other alternative strategies

35.8%

Intend to broaden next year

Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers

BuyersVolumeShareDealsAvg. deal
Large10$18.00bn61.9%144$125.00m
Medium29$7.50bn25.6%192$38.80m
Small99$3.60bn12.5%537$6.80m

Volume by size of buyer

  • Large 61.9%$18.00bn
  • Medium 25.6%$7.50bn
  • Small 12.5%$3.60bn

Key takeaways

  • Secondary Funds led the buy side in H1 2017 at 78.6% of volume, and 69.2% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
  • The Large tier accounted for 61.9% of reported volume, across 10 buyers.

Deals

Number of deals and average deal size

874

Transactions

$33.30m

Average deal size

Deals and deal size by buyer size

Number of deals

  • Large 144
  • Medium 192
  • Small 537

Average deal size

  • Large $125.00m
  • Medium $38.80m
  • Small $6.80m

Seller profiles

Types of sellers in H1 2017

  • Other Fund GPs17.6%
  • Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds16.0%
  • Pensions15.4%
  • Endowments / Charities14.1%
  • Sovereign Funds13.0%
  • Banks9.0%
  • Family Offices6.0%
  • Insurance Companies3.0%
  • Corporate3.0%

Expected sellers over the next six months

  • Banks3.0%
  • Insurance Companies1.0%
  • Pensions38.0%
  • Sovereign Funds14.0%
  • Family Offices8.0%
  • Endowments / Charities9.0%
  • Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds18.0%
  • Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds4.0%
  • Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)4.0%
  • Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)1.0%

Seller location

Share of volume by seller region

  • North America44.8%
  • Western Europe34.2%
  • Other10.8%
  • Asia-Pacific10.1%

Volume by seller region (USD bn)

  • North America $13.00bn
  • Western Europe $9.60bn
  • Asia-Pacific $2.90bn

Key takeaways

  • Other Fund GPs (17.6%) and Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds (16.0%) led selling in H1 2017.
  • Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 38.0%.

Terms & returns

Leverage and returns

Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year

  • Meaningfully more29.5%
  • Similar70.5%

Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.36x.

Buyers' target returns

Targeted IRRs (%)

  • PE directs 17.6%
  • VC funds 17.2%
  • RE funds 13.9%
  • LBO funds 13.7%
  • Infra funds 10.6%

Targeted gross multiples (x)

  • PE directs 1.67x
  • VC funds 1.58x
  • RE funds 1.49x
  • LBO funds 1.37x
  • Infra funds 1.37x

Key takeaway

  • Buyers underwrote to a 1.36x expected gross multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money)..

Competition

Buyer competition for deals vs prior year

  • Meaningfully higher31.0%
  • Similar66.7%
  • Meaningfully lower2.4%

Intermediation

Volume involving an intermediary

59.9%

Volume involving an intermediary

$17.40bn

Intermediated volume

Outlook

Projected volume for H2 2017

H2 2017 Forecast

$55.70bn

Predicted secondary volume for H2 2017 (+32.2% vs this period)

How buyers expect H2 2017 to compare to this period

  • Meaningfully higher28.4%
  • Similar58.2%
  • Meaningfully lower13.5%

Expected distribution and NAV changes in H2 2017

H2 2017 Expected

+1.2%

Expected change in distributions

+1.2%

Expected change in NAV

Key takeaway

  • Buyers project $55.70bn of volume in H2 2017, +32.2% against H1 2017. They also expect distributions to move +1.2% and NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +1.2%.

Methodology

This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during H1 2017.

Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — H1 2017. The published PDF remains canonical.

Need pricing or liquidity insight on a specific portfolio?

Setter Capital advises buyers and sellers across the global secondary market.

Source: Setter Capital Volume Report. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, USD) in deals with a binding agreement entered into during the reporting period.

V4 preview — figures are transcribed from the published reports; the published PDF remains canonical.