Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $36.70bn in H1 2018, up 26.2% from $29.10bn in H1 2017.
Types of assets purchased (H1 2018, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$36.70bn
- Private Equity $31.53bn+29.8%
- Real Estate $3.14bn−2.4%
- Infrastructure $1.39bn+46.6%
- Hedge Funds $520.00m+5.5%
- Agriculture / Timber $120.00m+7.5%
Reported activity vs H1 2017
- Meaningfully higher45.4%
- Similar52.9%
- Meaningfully lower1.7%
Key takeaway
- 45.4% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than H1 2017, against 1.7% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$23.05bn
LP-led volume
$13.65bn
GP-led volume
37.2%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led62.8%
- GP-led37.2%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- PE directs90.7%
- RE directs9.3%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$23.06bn
- Private equity $19.16bn+10.2%
- Real Estate $1.87bn−23.2%
- Infrastructure $1.39bn+46.6%
- Hedge Funds $520.00m+5.5%
- Agriculture / Timber $120.00m+7.5%
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$15.40bn
- VC$1.40bn
- Fund of Funds$960.00m
- Energy$810.00m
- Debt$580.00m
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Opportunistic$1.07bn
- Value-Add$580.00m
- Core$230.00m
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More53.4%
- Similar45.0%
- Less1.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More31.9%
- Similar63.0%
- Less6.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive12.0%
- No change77.0%
- Less restrictive11.0%
Key takeaway
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 37.2% of volume in H1 2018, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America51.2%
- Western Europe31.6%
- Global9.3%
- Asia-Pacific6.1%
- Other1.8%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$36.70bn
- North America $18.45bn+22.9%
- Western Europe $11.38bn+48.9%
- Global $3.41bn+16.7%
- Asia-Pacific $2.19bn−27.8%
- Other $1.27bn
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in H1 2018, at 51.2% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds82.4%
- Funds of Funds10.8%
- Pensions4.8%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs1.6%
- Inv. Consultants0.5%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America62.8%
- Europe35.0%
- Asia1.8%
Buyers' scope of interest
17.1%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
35.1%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in H1 2018 at 82.4% of volume, and 62.8% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 63.4% of reported volume, across 14 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
746
Transactions
$49.19m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in H1 2018
- Other Fund GPs31.2%
- Pensions23.2%
- Insurance Companies12.6%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds11.5%
- Family Offices7.3%
- Sovereign Funds5.4%
- Endowments / Charities3.1%
- Banks3.1%
- Corporate2.5%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Banks10.0%
- Insurance Companies3.0%
- Pensions27.0%
- Sovereign Funds5.0%
- Family Offices10.0%
- Endowments / Charities3.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds30.0%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds1.0%
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)11.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)0.0%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America60.9%
- Western Europe29.0%
- Asia-Pacific7.8%
- Other2.4%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $22.33bn
- Western Europe $10.64bn
- Asia-Pacific $2.85bn
- Other $880.00m
Key takeaways
- Other Fund GPs (31.2%) and Pensions (23.2%) led selling in H1 2018.
- Buyers expect Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 30.0%.
Terms & returns
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more15.3%
- Similar84.7%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.4x.
Buyers' target returns
Targeted IRRs (%)
Targeted gross multiples (x)
Key takeaway
- Buyers underwrote to a 1.4x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher21.3%
- Similar77.3%
- Meaningfully lower1.3%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
64.6%
Volume involving an intermediary
$23.71bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for H2 2018
$66.40bn
Predicted secondary volume for H2 2018 (+9.3% vs this period)
How buyers expect H2 2018 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher10.3%
- Similar83.7%
- Meaningfully lower6.0%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in H2 2018
+2.0%
Expected change in distributions
+2.3%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $66.40bn of volume in H2 2018, +9.3% against H1 2018. They also expect distributions to move +2.0% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +2.3%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during H1 2018.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — H1 2018. The published PDF remains canonical.
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