Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $46.01bn in H1 2019, up 25.4% from $36.70bn in H1 2018.
Types of assets purchased (H1 2019, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$46.01bn
- Private Equity $42.10bn+33.5%
- Real Estate $1.91bn−39.2%
- Infrastructure $1.51bn+8.6%
- Hedge Funds $340.00m−35.1%
- Agriculture / Timber $160.00m+33.0%
Reported activity vs H1 2018
- Meaningfully higher53.7%
- Similar38.8%
- Meaningfully lower7.5%
Key takeaway
- 53.7% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than H1 2018, against 7.5% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$28.57bn
LP-led volume
$17.44bn
GP-led volume
37.9%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led62.1%
- GP-led37.9%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- PE directs95.2%
- RE directs4.8%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$28.59bn
- Private equity $25.51bn+33.1%
- Infrastructure $1.51bn+8.6%
- Real Estate $1.07bn−42.9%
- Hedge Funds $340.00m−35.1%
- Agriculture / Timber $160.00m+33.0%
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$19.18bn
- Debt$2.20bn
- VC$2.12bn
- Energy$1.04bn
- Fund of Funds$970.00m
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Opportunistic$500.00m
- Core$310.00m
- Value-Add$260.00m
Types of GP-led secondaries
Types of deals completed
- Fund restructurings (LPs may sell or roll into a new vehicle)36.0%
- Purchases of directs from a fund (incumbent manager exits)12.0%
- Tender offers to LPs (fund not restructured)7.0%
- Provision of unfunded / dry powder to a fund2.0%
- Other43.0%
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More57.1%
- Similar40.0%
- Less3.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More28.9%
- Similar71.1%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive21.0%
- No change68.0%
- Less restrictive11.0%
Key takeaways
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 37.9% of volume in H1 2019, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .- Other were the most common GP-led structure, at 43.0% of deals.
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America66.5%
- Western Europe20.9%
- Asia-Pacific6.7%
- Global4.9%
- Other1.0%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$46.01bn
- North America $30.58bn+65.7%
- Western Europe $9.63bn−15.4%
- Asia-Pacific $3.07bn+40.3%
- Global $2.26bn−33.7%
- Other $470.00m
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in H1 2019, at 66.5% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds87.4%
- Funds of Funds10.1%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs1.1%
- Inv. Consultants0.7%
- Pensions0.7%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America58.3%
- Europe39.7%
- Asia2.0%
Buyers' scope of interest
12.8%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
28.9%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in H1 2019 at 87.4% of volume, and 58.3% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 68.6% of reported volume, across 13 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
895
Transactions
$51.40m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in H1 2019
- Other Fund GPs27.8%
- Banks19.5%
- Pensions18.2%
- Insurance Companies10.3%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds7.7%
- Endowments / Charities5.2%
- Sovereign Funds3.8%
- Family Offices3.6%
- Corporate3.2%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Banks3.0%
- Insurance Companies4.0%
- Pensions35.0%
- Sovereign Funds17.0%
- Family Offices4.0%
- Endowments / Charities8.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds17.0%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds0.0%
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)12.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)0.0%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America57.4%
- Asia-Pacific20.3%
- Western Europe19.4%
- Other2.9%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $26.42bn
- Asia-Pacific $9.33bn
- Western Europe $8.94bn
- Other $1.33bn
Key takeaways
- Other Fund GPs (27.8%) and Banks (19.5%) led selling in H1 2019.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 35.0%.
Terms & returns
Payment terms
Payment terms
- 100% cash paid on closing70.0%
- Partially deferred (e.g. half on close, half in a year)22.0%
- Earn-out (large cash component on closing)4.0%
- Preferred equity3.0%
- Other terms / structuring1.0%
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more17.1%
- Similar82.9%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.42x.
Buyers' target returns
Targeted IRRs (%)
Targeted gross multiples (x)
Key takeaway
- 100% cash paid on closing featured in 70.0% of the volume-weighted deal mix, and buyers underwrote to a 1.42x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher6.4%
- Similar91.0%
- Meaningfully lower2.6%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
75.4%
Volume involving an intermediary
$34.71bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for H2 2019
$82.80bn
Predicted secondary volume for H2 2019 (+3.9% vs this period)
How buyers expect H2 2019 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher21.1%
- Similar47.7%
- Meaningfully lower31.1%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in H2 2019
+2.5%
Expected change in distributions
+2.3%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $82.80bn of volume in H2 2019, +3.9% against H1 2019. They also expect distributions to move +2.5% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +2.3%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during H1 2019.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — H1 2019. The published PDF remains canonical.
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