Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $20.21bn in H1 2020, down 56.1% from $46.01bn in H1 2019.
Types of assets purchased (H1 2020, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$20.21bn
- Private Equity $17.46bn−58.5%
- Infrastructure $1.44bn−4.4%
- Real Estate $890.00m−53.4%
- Agriculture / Timber $270.00m+69.5%
- Hedge Funds $150.00m−55.1%
Reported activity vs H1 2019
- Meaningfully higher6.3%
- Similar23.0%
- Meaningfully lower70.7%
Key takeaway
- 6.3% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than H1 2019, against 70.7% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$12.39bn
LP-led volume
$7.82bn
GP-led volume
38.7%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led61.3%
- GP-led38.7%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- PE directs96.2%
- RE directs3.8%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$12.57bn
- Private equity $10.11bn−60.4%
- Infrastructure $1.44bn−4.4%
- Real Estate $600.00m−44.0%
- Agriculture / Timber $270.00m+69.5%
- Hedge Funds $150.00m−55.1%
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$8.62bn
- VC$670.00m
- Debt$401.00m
- Fund of Funds$360.00m
- Energy$63.00m
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Opportunistic$334.00m
- Core$149.00m
- Value-Add$116.00m
Maturity of funds purchased
Average age of funds purchased
The volume-weighted average age of the fund interests purchased in H1 2020 was 5.52 years.
Types of GP-led secondaries
Types of deals completed
- Fund restructurings (LPs may sell or roll into a new vehicle)49.0%
- Purchases of directs from a fund (incumbent manager exits)17.0%
- Tender offers to LPs (fund not restructured)7.0%
- Provision of unfunded / dry powder to a fund2.0%
- Other25.0%
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More72.5%
- Similar21.5%
- Less6.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More18.0%
- Similar62.0%
- Less20.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive16.0%
- No change79.0%
- Less restrictive4.0%
Key takeaways
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 38.7% of volume in H1 2020, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .- Fund restructurings were the most common GP-led structure, at 49.0% of deals.
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America58.1%
- Western Europe30.7%
- Asia-Pacific4.8%
- Global2.3%
- Other4.1%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$20.21bn
- North America $11.75bn−61.6%
- Western Europe $6.20bn−35.6%
- Asia-Pacific $970.00m−68.5%
- Global $460.00m−79.4%
- Other $830.00m
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in H1 2020, at 58.1% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds79.4%
- Funds of Funds16.0%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs2.5%
- Pensions1.5%
- Inv. Consultants0.6%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America63.3%
- Europe32.0%
- Asia3.0%
Buyers' scope of interest
16.7%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
22.5%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in H1 2020 at 79.4% of volume, and 63.3% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 50.0% of reported volume, across 8 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
543
Transactions
$37.19m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Execution risk
Deals that fell through vs prior period
- Meaningfully higher60.0%
- Similar35.4%
- Meaningfully lower4.6%
Why deals fell through
- Seller decided not to sell46.0%
- Adverse economic issues generally / MAC clause34.7%
- Adverse portfolio or manager issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence7.7%
- Disagreement over NAV or post reference date cash flows3.8%
- Another investor exercised their right of first refusal/offer (ROFR/ROFO)3.8%
- Adverse tax issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence1.9%
- Disagreement over PSA terms1.9%
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in H1 2020
- Pensions33.2%
- Other Fund GPs27.0%
- Family Offices9.7%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds7.5%
- Sovereign Funds6.7%
- Insurance Companies4.7%
- Corporate4.7%
- Endowments / Charities3.4%
- Hedge Funds1.7%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Banks0.0%
- Insurance Companies1.0%
- Pensions34.0%
- Sovereign Funds8.0%
- Family Offices8.0%
- Endowments / Charities9.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds22.0%
- Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds1.0%
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)17.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)0.0%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America59.6%
- Western Europe23.3%
- Asia-Pacific11.2%
- Other5.9%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $12.04bn
- Western Europe $4.71bn
- Asia-Pacific $2.26bn
- Other $1.19bn
Key takeaways
- Pensions (33.2%) and Other Fund GPs (27.0%) led selling in H1 2020.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 34.0%.
Terms & returns
Payment terms
Payment terms
- 100% cash paid on closing69.7%
- Other terms / structuring14.0%
- Partially deferred (e.g. half on close, half in a year)11.0%
- Preferred equity5.3%
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more6.2%
- Similar41.5%
- Less52.3%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.49x.
Buyers' target returns
Targeted IRRs (%)
Targeted gross multiples (x)
Key takeaway
- 100% cash paid on closing featured in 69.7% of the volume-weighted deal mix, and buyers underwrote to a 1.49x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher1.4%
- Similar71.0%
- Meaningfully lower27.5%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
70.4%
Volume involving an intermediary
$14.23bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for H2 2020
$58.30bn
Predicted secondary volume for H2 2020 (−31.7% vs this period)
How buyers expect H2 2020 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher59.1%
- Similar34.7%
- Meaningfully lower6.2%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in H2 2020
−0.6%
Expected change in distributions
+0.1%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $58.30bn of volume in H2 2020, −31.7% against H1 2020. They also expect distributions to move −0.6% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +0.1%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during H1 2020.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — H1 2020. The published PDF remains canonical.
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