Total volume
Total secondary market volume was $45.09bn in H1 2023, down 22.2% from $57.84bn in H1 2022.
Types of assets purchased (H1 2023, USD bn)
- All assets purchased$45.09bn
- Private Equity $41.23bn−23.3%
- Infrastructure $2.76bn+43.1%
- Real Estate $960.00m−48.4%
- Hedge Funds $100.00m−54.0%
- Agriculture / Timber $46.00m−38.5%
Reported activity vs H1 2022
- Meaningfully higher9.5%
- Similar56.8%
- Meaningfully lower33.6%
Key takeaway
- 9.5% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than H1 2022, against 33.6% reporting meaningfully lower.
Assets purchased
LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries
$28.14bn
LP-led volume
$16.95bn
GP-led volume
37.6%
GP-led share of volume
LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)
- LP-led62.4%
- GP-led37.6%
Direct purchases split PE vs RE
- PE directs97.8%
- RE directs2.2%
Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries
- All LP-led fund secondaries$28.15bn
- Private equity $24.65bn−9.4%
- Infrastructure $2.76bn+43.1%
- Real Estate $590.00m−48.4%
- Hedge Funds $100.00m−54.0%
- Agriculture / Timber $50.00m−38.5%
Types of funds purchased
Private equity funds (USD bn)
- LBO$20.57bn
- Debt$2.04bn
- VC$1.06bn
- Fund of Funds$919.00m
- Energy$58.00m
Real estate funds (USD bn)
- Value-Add$221.00m
- Core$184.00m
- Opportunistic$184.00m
Maturity of funds purchased
Average age of funds purchased
The volume-weighted average age of the fund interests purchased in H1 2023 was 4.65 years, compared with 5.11 years in H1 2022.
Types of GP-led secondaries
Types of deals completed
- Fund restructurings (LPs may sell or roll into a new vehicle)80.0%
- Purchases of directs from a fund (incumbent manager exits)5.0%
- Tender offers to LPs (fund not restructured)9.0%
- Provision of unfunded / dry powder to a fund2.0%
- Other3.0%
General partners' approach to the secondary market
Liquidations & restructurings
- More29.5%
- Similar65.5%
- Less5.0%
Staples sought by GPs
- More44.7%
- Similar50.3%
- Less5.0%
Restrictiveness on transfers
- More restrictive11.0%
- No change80.0%
- Less restrictive9.0%
Key takeaways
GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 37.6% of volume in H1 2023, with the balanceLP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor. .- Fund restructurings were the most common GP-led structure, at 80.0% of deals.
Geography of assets purchased
Share of assets purchased by region
- North America62.5%
- Western Europe27.8%
- Global6.2%
- Asia-Pacific3.4%
- Other0.1%
Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)
- All regions$45.09bn
- North America $28.20bn−26.2%
- Western Europe $12.55bn+13.0%
- Global $2.79bn−49.0%
- Asia-Pacific $1.53bn−36.5%
- Other $20.00m
Key takeaway
- North America was the largest source of assets purchased in H1 2023, at 62.5% of volume.
Profiles of buyers
Types of buyers (share of volume)
- Secondary Funds91.1%
- Funds of Funds5.3%
- Inv. Consultants1.2%
- Pensions1.1%
- Hedge Sec / FoFs0.8%
Locations of buyers (head-office based)
- North America67.8%
- Europe31.0%
- Asia1.2%
Buyers' scope of interest
5.3%
Broadened into other alternative strategies
21.6%
Intend to broaden next year
Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers
Volume by size of buyer
Key takeaways
- Secondary Funds led the buy side in H1 2023 at 91.1% of volume, and 67.8% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
- The Large tier accounted for 62.2% of reported volume, across 15 buyers.
Deals
Number of deals and average deal size
866
Transactions
$52.07m
Average deal size
Deals and deal size by buyer size
Number of deals
Average deal size
Execution risk
Deals that fell through vs prior period
- Meaningfully higher17.9%
- Similar72.1%
- Meaningfully lower10.0%
Why deals fell through
- Seller decided not to sell72.7%
- Adverse portfolio or manager issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence13.6%
- GP did not allow transfer / PTP issues4.5%
- Disagreement over PSA terms4.5%
- Disagreement over NAV or post-reference date cash flows2.2%
- Adverse tax issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence2.2%
Seller profiles
Types of sellers in H1 2023
- Pensions36.6%
- Other Fund GPs25.7%
- Banks9.5%
- Insurance Companies8.5%
- Family Offices6.8%
- Endowments / Charities4.6%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds4.2%
- Corporate2.4%
- Sovereign Funds1.6%
Expected sellers over the next six months
- Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)12.0%
- Pensions44.0%
- Sovereign Funds6.0%
- Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds1.0%
- Family Offices12.0%
- Banks7.0%
- Insurance Companies11.0%
- Endowments / Charities7.0%
- Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)0.3%
Seller location
Share of volume by seller region
- North America65.3%
- Western Europe25.3%
- Asia-Pacific7.3%
- Other2.1%
Volume by seller region (USD bn)
- North America $29.46bn
- Asia-Pacific $3.30bn
- Western Europe $11.41bn
- Other $950.00m
Key takeaways
- Pensions (36.6%) and Other Fund GPs (25.7%) led selling in H1 2023.
- Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 44.0%.
Terms & returns
Payment terms
Payment terms
- 100% cash paid on closing72.6%
- Partially deferred (e.g. half on close, half in a year)12.9%
- Other terms / structuring13.4%
- Preferred equity1.2%
Leverage and returns
Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year
- Meaningfully more1.4%
- Similar47.2%
- Less51.4%
Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.59x.
Buyers' target returns
Targeted IRRs (%)
Targeted gross multiples (x)
Key takeaway
- 100% cash paid on closing featured in 72.6% of the volume-weighted deal mix, and buyers underwrote to a 1.59x expected gross
multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money). .
Competition
Buyer competition for deals vs prior year
- Meaningfully higher17.1%
- Similar68.4%
- Meaningfully lower14.5%
Intermediation
Volume involving an intermediary
75.4%
Volume involving an intermediary
$33.98bn
Intermediated volume
Outlook
Projected volume for H2 2023
$109.86bn
Predicted secondary volume for H2 2023 (−3.3% vs this period)
How buyers expect H2 2023 to compare to this period
- Meaningfully higher44.1%
- Similar54.3%
Expected distribution and NAV changes in H2 2023
+2.3%
Expected change in distributions
+2.2%
Expected change in NAV
Key takeaway
- Buyers project $109.86bn of volume in H2 2023, −3.3% against H1 2023. They also expect distributions to move +2.3% and
NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +2.2%.
Methodology
This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during H1 2023.
Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — H1 2023. The published PDF remains canonical.
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