Setter Volume Report — global secondary market volume, H1 2024

23rd Edition

Setter's semi-annual survey of the global secondary market — every edition since 2013.

Total volume

Total secondary market volume was $67.71bn in H1 2024, up 50.2% from $45.09bn in H1 2023.

Types of assets purchased (H1 2024, USD bn)

  • All assets purchased$67.71bn
  • Private Equity $63.32bn+53.6%
  • Infrastructure $2.82bn+2.2%
  • Real Estate $1.49bn+55.4%
  • Hedge Funds $60.00m−38.3%
  • Agriculture / Timber $28.00m−38.7%

Reported activity vs H1 2023

  • Meaningfully higher56.4%
  • Similar43.0%
  • Meaningfully lower0.6%

Key takeaway

  • 56.4% of respondents reported meaningfully higher activity than H1 2023, against 0.6% reporting meaningfully lower.

Assets purchased

LP-led vs. GP-led secondaries

$38.05bn

LP-led volume

$29.66bn

GP-led volume

43.8%

GP-led share of volume

LP-led vs. GP-led split (share of volume)

  • LP-led56.2%
  • GP-led43.8%

Direct purchases split PE vs RE

  • PE directs97.6%
  • RE directs2.4%

Breakdown of LP-led fund secondaries

  • All LP-led fund secondaries$38.05bn
  • Private equity $34.36bn+39.4%
  • Infrastructure $2.82bn+2.2%
  • Real Estate $780.00m+32.8%
  • Hedge Funds $60.00m−38.3%
  • Agriculture / Timber $30.00m−38.7%

Types of funds purchased

Private equity funds (USD bn)

  • LBO$28.53bn
  • VC$2.66bn
  • Debt$1.97bn
  • Fund of Funds$1.09bn
  • Energy$107.00m

Real estate funds (USD bn)

  • Core$244.00m
  • Value-Add$261.00m
  • Opportunistic$277.00m

Maturity of funds purchased

Average age of funds purchased

The volume-weighted average age of the fund interests purchased in H1 2024 was 6.39 years, compared with 4.65 years in H1 2023.

Types of GP-led secondaries

Types of deals completed

  • Fund restructurings (LPs may sell or roll into a new vehicle)76.0%
  • Purchases of directs from a fund (incumbent manager exits)3.0%
  • Tender offers to LPs (fund not restructured)9.0%
  • Provision of unfunded / dry powder to a fund3.0%
  • Other10.0%

General partners' approach to the secondary market

Liquidations & restructurings

  • More24.7%
  • Similar74.3%
  • Less1.0%

Staples sought by GPs

  • More27.4%
  • Similar67.6%
  • Less5.0%

Restrictiveness on transfers

  • More restrictive5.0%
  • No change90.0%
  • Less restrictive5.0%

Key takeaways

  • GP-ledA secondary transaction initiated by a fund's general partner, commonly involving a continuation vehicle or tender offer. secondaries were 43.8% of volume in H1 2024, with the balance LP-ledAn LP-led secondary: an existing fund investor (a limited partner) sells one or more fund interests to another investor..
  • Fund restructurings were the most common GP-led structure, at 76.0% of deals.

Geography of assets purchased

Share of assets purchased by region

  • North America63.8%
  • Western Europe23.3%
  • Global8.9%
  • Asia-Pacific3.7%
  • Other0.3%

Volume by region (USD bn, YoY)

  • All regions$67.71bn
  • North America $43.23bn+53.3%
  • Western Europe $15.78bn+25.7%
  • Global $6.01bn+115.6%
  • Asia-Pacific $2.50bn+64.0%
  • Other $190.00m

Key takeaway

  • North America was the largest source of assets purchased in H1 2024, at 63.8% of volume.

Profiles of buyers

Types of buyers (share of volume)

  • Secondary Funds92.7%
  • Funds of Funds3.9%
  • Inv. Consultants1.3%
  • Pensions1.1%
  • Hedge Sec / FoFs1.0%

Locations of buyers (head-office based)

  • North America75.0%
  • Europe23.6%
  • Asia1.4%

Buyers' scope of interest

9.6%

Broadened into other alternative strategies

25.7%

Intend to broaden next year

Activity levels of small, medium and large buyers

BuyersVolumeShareDealsAvg. deal
Large20$48.35bn71.4%307$157.33m
Medium55$16.70bn24.7%465$35.90m
Small57$2.66bn3.9%295$9.02m

Volume by size of buyer

  • Large 71.4%$48.35bn
  • Medium 24.7%$16.70bn
  • Small 3.9%$2.66bn

Key takeaways

  • Secondary Funds led the buy side in H1 2024 at 92.7% of volume, and 75.0% of buyers were headquartered in North America.
  • The Large tier accounted for 71.4% of reported volume, across 20 buyers.

Deals

Number of deals and average deal size

1,068

Transactions

$63.42m

Average deal size

Deals and deal size by buyer size

Number of deals

  • Large 307
  • Medium 465
  • Small 295

Average deal size

  • Large $157.33m
  • Medium $35.90m
  • Small $9.02m

Execution risk

Deals that fell through vs prior period

  • Meaningfully higher11.0%
  • Similar76.2%
  • Meaningfully lower12.8%

Why deals fell through

  • Seller decided not to sell76.1%
  • Disagreement over NAV or post-reference date cash flows5.9%
  • Another investor exercised their right of first refusal/offer (ROFR/ROFO)4.0%
  • Adverse portfolio or manager issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence4.0%
  • GP did not allow transfer / PTP issues3.9%
  • Disagreement over PSA terms2.0%
  • Adverse economic issues generally / MAC clause2.0%
  • Adverse tax issues uncovered in post-LOI diligence1.9%

Seller profiles

Types of sellers in H1 2024

  • Pensions33.1%
  • Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)17.4%
  • Insurance Companies13.7%
  • Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds12.0%
  • Endowments / Charities9.0%
  • Family Offices6.0%
  • Banks4.0%
  • Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)3.0%
  • Sovereign Funds1.0%

Expected sellers over the next six months

  • Other Fund GPs (non FoF or Sec Funds)12.0%
  • Pensions43.0%
  • Sovereign Funds2.0%
  • Fund of Funds / Secondary Funds11.0%
  • Family Offices7.0%
  • Banks4.0%
  • Insurance Companies15.0%
  • Endowments / Charities5.0%
  • Corporate - Balance Sheet (non-financial)1.0%
  • Hedge Funds / Hedge Fund of Funds0.0%

Seller location

Share of volume by seller region

  • North America67.4%
  • Western Europe25.1%
  • Asia-Pacific6.7%
  • Other0.8%

Volume by seller region (USD bn)

  • North America $45.67bn
  • Western Europe $17.01bn
  • Asia-Pacific $4.51bn
  • Other $540.00m

Key takeaways

  • Pensions (33.1%) and Other Fund GPs (17.4%) led selling in H1 2024.
  • Buyers expect Pensions to be the single largest source of volume over the next six months, at 43.0%.

Terms & returns

Payment terms

Payment terms

  • 100% cash paid on closing68.4%
  • Partially deferred (e.g. half on close, half in a year)23.8%
  • Earn-out (large cash component on closing)5.8%
  • Preferred equity2.0%

Pricing in H1 2024

87.2%

LP-led fund sales, as % of NAV

94.1%

GP-led secondaries, as % of NAV

Leverage and returns

Level of debt used by buyers vs prior year

  • Meaningfully more5.8%
  • Similar84.1%
  • Less10.1%

Buyers underwrote to an expected gross multiple of 1.63x.

Buyers' target returns

Targeted IRRs (%)

  • VC funds 20.4%
  • PE directs 19.7%
  • Energy funds 18.4%
  • RE funds 17.1%
  • LBO funds 16.3%
  • Performing debt 11.6%
  • Infra funds 11.4%
  • Timber funds 10.3%

Targeted gross multiples (x)

  • PE directs 1.97x
  • VC funds 1.90x
  • Energy funds 1.80x
  • LBO funds 1.57x
  • RE funds 1.56x
  • Infra funds 1.50x
  • Timber funds 1.42x
  • Performing debt 1.39x

Key takeaway

  • 100% cash paid on closing featured in 68.4% of the volume-weighted deal mix, and buyers underwrote to a 1.63x expected gross multipleA return measure equal to total value returned divided by capital invested (e.g. a 2.0x multiple doubles the money)..

Competition

Buyer competition for deals vs prior year

  • Meaningfully higher28.0%
  • Similar68.0%
  • Meaningfully lower4.0%

Intermediation

Volume involving an intermediary

73.9%

Volume involving an intermediary

$50.04bn

Intermediated volume

Outlook

Projected volume for H2 2024

H2 2024 Forecast

$131.24bn

Predicted secondary volume for H2 2024 (+19.5% vs this period)

How buyers expect H2 2024 to compare to this period

  • Meaningfully higher17.3%
  • Similar82.6%

Expected distribution and NAV changes in H2 2024

H2 2024 Expected

+4.0%

Expected change in distributions

+3.1%

Expected change in NAV

Key takeaway

  • Buyers project $131.24bn of volume in H2 2024, +19.5% against H1 2024. They also expect distributions to move +4.0% and NAVsNet asset value — the reported value of a fund's underlying holdings at a point in time. +3.1%.

Methodology

This edition summarises Setter Capital's semi-annual survey of the most active global buyers in the secondary market for alternative investments. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, in USD) purchased in deals where a binding agreement was entered into during H1 2024.

Source: Setter Capital Volume Report — H1 2024. The published PDF remains canonical.

Need pricing or liquidity insight on a specific portfolio?

Setter Capital advises buyers and sellers across the global secondary market.

Source: Setter Capital Volume Report. Volume is defined as total exposure (NAV + unfunded, USD) in deals with a binding agreement entered into during the reporting period.

V4 preview — figures are transcribed from the published reports; the published PDF remains canonical.